Abstract
The paper’s primary goal is the evaluation of the relationship between minimum wage, employment, and unemployment in Poland in the past two decades. It presents an overview of theoretical aspects of minimum wages, the main motivations behind its implementation, as well as potential negative consequences. The minimum wage in Poland is presented in comparison to other European Union countries. Finally, using a Toda-Yamamoto approach and quarterly data covering the years 2002–2019, the Granger causality between the Kaitz index and selected labour market indicators is examined. The results indicate the presence of unidirectional Granger causality between the Kaitz index and the general unemployment rate. It does not indicate similar relationships for other examined indicators, including employment rate and youth unemployment rate.
References
Belman, D., Wolfson, P. J. (2014). What does the minimum wage do? Kalamazoo, MI: W. E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research. DOI: 10.17848/9780880994583.
View in Google Scholar
Boal, W., Ransom, M. (1997). Monopsony in the labor market. Journal of Economic Literature, 35, 86–112.
View in Google Scholar
Broniatowska, P., Majchrowska, A., Żółkiewski, Z. (2013). Wynagrodzenie minimalne w Polsce. Czy powinno być zróżnicowane regionalnie? Studia BAS, 4/36, 125–157.
View in Google Scholar
Cahuc, P., Michel, P. (1996). Minimum wage unemployment and growth. European Economic Review, 40, 1463–1482.
View in Google Scholar
Card, D., Krueger, A. B. (1995). Myth and measurement: The new economics of the minimum wage—Twentieth-anniversary edition. Princeton: Princeton University Press. ISBN-13 978-0691169125.
View in Google Scholar
Chu, A. C., Kou, Z., Wang, X. (2020). Dynamic effects of minimum wage on growth and innovation in a Schumpeterian economy. Economics Letters, 188, 108943. DOI: 10.1016/j.econlet.2020.108943.
View in Google Scholar
Cieślak-Wróblewska, A., Roguski, A. (2019). Wysokie minimum to cios dla firm [online, accessed: 2021-03-22]. Rzeczpospolita. Retrieved from: https://www.rp.pl/Wynagrodzenia/309099920-Wysokie-minimum-to-cios-dla-firm.html.
View in Google Scholar
Czapla, E. (2009). Testowanie przyczynowości pomiędzy krótkoterminowymi stopami procentowymi w Polsce, USA i Strefie Euro. Acta Universitatis Nicolai Copernici Ekonomia, 39, 227–236.
View in Google Scholar
Dickey, D. A., Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 74(366), 427–431.
View in Google Scholar
Dańska-Borsiak, B. (2014). Płaca minimalna a liczba młodych pracujących. Związki przyczynowe i prognozy wariantowe. Ekonometria, 4(46), 151–162.
View in Google Scholar
Detragiache, E., Ebeke, C., Jirasavetakul, L.-B. F., Kirabaeva, K., Malacrino, D., Misch, F., Shi, Y. (2020). IMF working paper. A European minimum wage: Implications for poverty and macroeconomic imbalances (WP/20/59). International Monetary Fund.
View in Google Scholar
Eurofund. (2021). Minimum wage [online, accessed: 2021-03-20]. Retrieved from: eurofound.europa.eu/topic/minimum-wage.
View in Google Scholar
European Commission. (2018). The effects of the minimum wage on employment: evidence from a panel of EU Member States. Analytical Web Note (2018/1). Publications Office. DOI: 10.2767/816632.
View in Google Scholar
European Commision. (2020). Proposal for a Directive of the European Parliament and of the Council on adequate minimum wages in the European Union. COM(2020) 682 final. Brussels.
View in Google Scholar
Fic, M. (2010). Wpływ płacy minimalnej na zatrudnienie. Annales. Etyka w życiu gospodarczym, 13(1), 201–211.
View in Google Scholar
Gavrel, F., Lebon, I., Rebière, T. (2010). Wages, selectivity, and vacancies: Evaluating the short-term and long-term impact of the minimum wage on unemployment. Economic Modelling. Elsevier, 27(5), 1274–1281.
View in Google Scholar
Harasztosi, P., Lindner, A. (2019). Who pays for the minimum wage? American Economic Review, 109(8), 2693–2727. DOI: 10.1257/aer.20171445.
View in Google Scholar
Holtemöller, O., Pohle, F. (2020). Employment effects of introducing a minimum wage: The case of Germany. Economic Modelling, 89, 108–121. DOI: 10.1016/j.econmod.2019.10.006.
View in Google Scholar
ILO. (n.d.). Effects on employment [online, accessed: 2021-03-24]. Genève: International Labour Office. Retrieved from: https://www.ilo.org/global/topics/wages/minimum-wages/monitoring/WCMS_438874/lang--en/index.htm#4.
View in Google Scholar
ILO. (2014). General survey of the reports on the minimum wage fixing convention, 1970 (no. 131), and the minimum wage fixing recommendation, 1970 (no. 135) [online, accessed: 2021-03-24]. Genève: International Labour Office. Retrieved from: https://www.ilo.org/ilc/ILCSessions/previous-sessions/103/reports/reports-to-the-conference/WCMS_235287/lang--en/index.htm.
View in Google Scholar
Jiménez Martínez, M., Jiménez Martínez, M. (2021). Are the effects of minimum wage on the labour market the same across countries? A meta-analysis spanning a century. Economic Systems, 45(1). DOI: 10.1016/j.ecosys.2020.100849.
View in Google Scholar
Kirchgassner, G., Wolters, J., Hassler, U. (2013). Granger causality. In: G. Kirchgassner, J. Wolters, U. Hassler (eds.). Introduction to modern Time Series analysis (pp. 95–125). Berlin: Springer.
View in Google Scholar
Kwiatkowski, D., Phillips, P. (1992). Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root? Journal of Econometrics, 54(13), 159–178.
View in Google Scholar
Lee, W. S., Suardi, S. (2011). Minimum wages and employment: Reconsidering the use of a time-series approach as an evaluation tool. British Journal of Industrial Relations, 49, 376–401. DOI:10.1111/j.1467-8543.2010.00799.x.
View in Google Scholar
Majchrowska, A., Zółkiewski, Z. (2012). The impact of minimum wage on employment in Poland. Investigaciones Regionales, 24, 211–239.
View in Google Scholar
Manning, A. (2020). Monopsony in labor markets: A review. ILR Review, 74, 3–26. DOI: 10.1177/0019793920922499.
View in Google Scholar
Mierzejewski, M., Chlebisz, A. (2019). Evaluation of employment and labour market trends in European Countries in 2007–2016. Studia Humana, 8(4), 43–50. DOI: 10.2478/sh-2019-0030.
View in Google Scholar
Neumark, D. (2018). The econometrics and economics of the employment effects of minimum wages: Getting from known unknowns to known knowns. National Bureau of Economic Research, DOI: 10.3386/w25043.
View in Google Scholar
Owens, M. F., Kagel, J. H. (2010). Minimum wage restrictions and employee effort in incomplete labor markets: An experimental investigation. Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 73, 317–326.
View in Google Scholar
Park, J., Ratti, R. (1998). Stationary data and the effect of the minimum wage on teenage employment. Applied Economics, 30(4), 435–440. DOI: 10.1080/000368498325705.
View in Google Scholar
Raczkowska, M. (2007). Minimalne wynagrodzenie za pracę w Polsce i wybranych krajach świata. Zeszyty Naukowe SGGW – Ekonomika i Organizacja Gospodarki Żywnościowej, 62, 41–53.
View in Google Scholar
Rawls, J. (2009). Teoria sprawiedliwości. Transl. by M. Panufnik, A. Romaniuk, J. Pasek, S. Szymański. Warszawa: Wydawnictwo Naukowe PWN.
View in Google Scholar
Redmond, P., Doorley, K., McGuinness, S. (2020). The impact of a minimum wage change on the distribution of wages and household income [online, accessed: 2021-03-22]. (IZA DP No. 12914). Institute of Labor Economics. Retrieved from: http://ftp.iza.org/dp12914.pdf.
View in Google Scholar
Riley, R., Bondibene, C. R. (2017). Raising the standard: Minimum wages and firm productivity. Labour Economics, 44, 27–50. DOI: 10.1016/j.labeco.2016.11.010.
View in Google Scholar
Schmitt, J. (2013). Why does the minimum wage have no discernible effect on employment? [online, accessed: 2021-03-22]. Washington: Center for Economic and Policy Research. Retrieved from: https://www.cepr.net/report/why-does-the-minimum-wage-have-no-discernible-effect-on-employment/.
View in Google Scholar
Smith, A. (2007). An inquiry into the nature and causes of the wealth of nations. J. Wight (ed.). Petersfield: Harriman House Ltd.
View in Google Scholar
Stigler, G. (1946). The economics of minimum wage legislation. The American Economic Review, 36(3), 358–365.
View in Google Scholar
Toda, H. Y., Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66, 225–250.
View in Google Scholar
Vercherand, J. (2014). The neoclassical model of the labour market. In: J. Vercherand, Labour. A heterodox approach (pp. 53–74). London: Palgrave Macmillan. DOI: 10.1057/9781137373618.
View in Google Scholar
Werner, A., Lim, M. (2016). The ethics of the living wage: A review and research agenda. Journal of Business Ethics, 137, 433–447. DOI: 10.1007/s10551-015-2562-z.
View in Google Scholar
Williams, N., Mills, J. A. (2001). The minimum wage and teenage employment: Evidence from time series. Applied Economics, 33, 285–300. DOI: 10.1080/00036840122088.
View in Google Scholar
Zając, K. (2005). Św. Tomasz z Akwinu – Jego zapatrywania socjalne i ekonomiczne. Annales. Etyka w życiu gospodarczym, 8(1), 111–118.
View in Google Scholar
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 International License.